Posts by Duane

10 Losers From EPA’s Recent RVO Announcement

EPA scored a big win for US Production Agriculture and the Biofuels industry last week. Yesterday I shared thoughts on 10 winners from the EPA RVO announcement. Today, let’s look…

10 Winners From EPA’s Recent RVO Announcement

Friday’s EPA RVO announcement was a big deal for crop based biofuels.  Find below, in no particular order, 10 of the winners.  Some are obvious, some not so much.  Enjoy!…

Markets Aren’t Efficient. Traders Can Help.

Sometimes words fail. Look at these Bloomberg charts. Republicans are bearish inflation. Democrats are bullish. And the difference of opinion is HUGE. Smart folks are represented in both lines of these…

Optionality.

What story do you see in these two images?  One shows different feedstocks used to produce biodiesel and renewable diesel.  The other shows the ingredients list on a bag of tortilla chips….

Sometimes the Market is not the Market it seems…

There’s a long list of “what ifs” that support a bullish soybean oil thesis. 2025 RVO increase, 45Z import exclusion, Indo B40, discount to palm/massive exports. Eventually some of these…

Future Macro Trends Support Delta Crush Expansion

In this 4th of 5 posts on US Delta crush, let’s look at the implications of macro soybean trends. This is data from 2024 OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook’s projections to 2033. You…